AI IPO: Which AI lab completes its IPO listing first?
1,200 tokens vol
Neither in 2026
46%· ~2.07x· 550 tokens
550 tokens46% of pool
46%~2.07xper tokenOpenAI
29%· ~3.26x· 350 tokens
350 tokens29% of pool
29%~3.26xper tokenAnthropic
25%· ~3.80x· 300 tokens
300 tokens25% of pool
25%~3.80xper token
Market rules
Resolution criteria
Resolves to whichever of Anthropic or OpenAI first completes an IPO listing on a recognised stock exchange. "Neither in 2026" resolves if neither has listed by 31 Dec 2026.
Set by the market when it was created.
Neither in 202646%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Neither in 2026 is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
OpenAI29%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if OpenAI is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Anthropic25%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Anthropic is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Frequently asked questions
Resolves to whichever of Anthropic or OpenAI first completes an IPO listing on a recognised stock exchange. "Neither in 2026" resolves if neither has listed by 31 Dec 2026. Predictions close on 31 Dec 2026, 4:20 pm, and the market settles once the result is known.
Predictions on "AI IPO: Which AI lab completes its IPO listing first?" close on 31 Dec 2026, 4:20 pm. After that no new predictions are accepted, and the market settles against its stated resolution criteria.
It means the tokens committed to "Neither in 2026" account for 46% of the pool on "AI IPO: Which AI lab completes its IPO listing first?". It is a live reading of what people predicting on this market collectively expect — not a forecast by PredictX, and not a guarantee. It moves as more predictions are committed, and it can be wrong.
Neither in 2026 46%, OpenAI 29%, Anthropic 25%. Each figure is that outcome's share of the tokens committed so far, and it changes as people predict. These are a snapshot from when this page was last updated.
9 people have made a prediction on "AI IPO: Which AI lab completes its IPO listing first?". They have committed 1,200 tokens in total. Tokens are free and carry no monetary value.
Choose an outcome on this page, pick how many tokens to commit to it, and confirm. Tokens are free and carry no monetary value. When the market settles, the pool is shared among the people who predicted the correct outcome, in proportion to what they committed.
Frequently asked questions about AI IPO: Which AI lab completes its IPO listing first?.
