Will 10 or more men finish under 2:05:00?

Count of sub-2:05 finishers ≥ 10. Settled from Official results. Predictions close on 6 Dec 2026, 12:35 pm, and the market settles once the result is known.

Predictions on "Will 10 or more men finish under 2:05:00?" close on 6 Dec 2026, 12:35 pm. After that no new predictions are accepted, and the market settles against its stated resolution criteria.

It means the tokens committed to "Yes" account for 50% of the pool on "Will 10 or more men finish under 2:05:00?". It is a live reading of what people predicting on this market collectively expect — not a forecast by PredictX, and not a guarantee. It moves as more predictions are committed, and it can be wrong.

Yes 50%, No 50%. Each figure is that outcome's share of the tokens committed so far, and it changes as people predict. These are a snapshot from when this page was last updated.

4 people have made a prediction on "Will 10 or more men finish under 2:05:00?". They have committed 1,000 tokens in total. Tokens are free and carry no monetary value.

Choose an outcome on this page, pick how many tokens to commit to it, and confirm. Tokens are free and carry no monetary value. When the market settles, the pool is shared among the people who predicted the correct outcome, in proportion to what they committed.