HOTTEST YEAR: Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record (NASA GISS)?
900 tokens vol
4th or lower
50%· ~1.90x· 450 tokens
450 tokens50% of pool
50%~1.90xper tokenHottest ever (#1)
39%· ~2.44x· 350 tokens
350 tokens39% of pool
39%~2.44xper token2nd hottest
11%· ~8.55x· 100 tokens
100 tokens11% of pool
11%~8.55xper token3rd hottest
0%· —· 0 tokens
0 tokens0% of pool
0%—per token
Market rules
Resolution criteria
Resolution criteria for this prediction will be published before it closes.
Set by the market when it was created.
4th or lower50%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if 4th or lower is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Hottest ever (#1)39%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Hottest ever (#1) is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
2nd hottest11%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if 2nd hottest is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
3rd hottest0%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if 3rd hottest is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
You have no tokens committed here yet.
Once you predict, this is where your entry probability, live sell value and payout estimate will track.