CHIPS: Will Tata Electronics’ Dholera fab produce its first commercial silicon by Dec 31, 2026?

Yes if Tata Electronics publicly confirms first commercial silicon production at the Dholera fab on or before 31 Dec 2026, per an official company or Government of India announcement. Predictions close on 19 Oct 2026, 4:20 pm, and the market settles once the result is known.

Predictions on "CHIPS: Will Tata Electronics’ Dholera fab produce its first commercial silicon by Dec 31, 2026?" close on 19 Oct 2026, 4:20 pm. After that no new predictions are accepted, and the market settles against its stated resolution criteria.

It means the tokens committed to "Yes" account for 51% of the pool on "CHIPS: Will Tata Electronics’ Dholera fab produce its first commercial silicon by Dec 31, 2026?". It is a live reading of what people predicting on this market collectively expect — not a forecast by PredictX, and not a guarantee. It moves as more predictions are committed, and it can be wrong.

Yes 51%, No 49%. Each figure is that outcome's share of the tokens committed so far, and it changes as people predict. These are a snapshot from when this page was last updated.

9 people have made a prediction on "CHIPS: Will Tata Electronics’ Dholera fab produce its first commercial silicon by Dec 31, 2026?". They have committed 1,550 tokens in total. Tokens are free and carry no monetary value.

Choose an outcome on this page, pick how many tokens to commit to it, and confirm. Tokens are free and carry no monetary value. When the market settles, the pool is shared among the people who predicted the correct outcome, in proportion to what they committed.