Science Predictions
Predict science and technology milestones and outcomes — a live, crowd-driven probability for every question.
Ranked by how many people are predicting, then by tokens committed.
Science & Tech
TOP MODEL: Which AI lab has the top-ranked model on LM Arena at end of Q3 2026?
Closes by Sep 29th 10:50am
Anthropic23%
xAI23%
10 1,550
+3 moreScience & Tech
CHIPS: Will Tata Electronics’ Dholera fab produce its first commercial silicon by Dec 31, 2026?
Closes by Oct 19th 10:50am
Yes51%
No49%
9 1,550
Science & Tech
CADENCE: How many ISRO orbital launches in H2 2026?
Closes by Oct 19th 10:50am
0–237%
7 or more33%
9 1,500
+2 moreScience & Tech
AI LABS: Which Indian AI lab makes the biggest 2026 move (largest funding round or frontier model release)?
Closes by Oct 19th 10:50am
Reliance Intelligence (Jio)38%
A new entrant23%
9 1,300
+3 moreScience & Tech
GAGANYAAN: Will ISRO’s Gaganyaan-1 uncrewed orbital flight launch in 2026?
Closes by Oct 19th 10:50am
Yes51%
No49%
9 1,250
Science & Tech
SPACEX: How many SpaceX launches (all vehicles) in 2026?
Closes by Sep 29th 10:50am
181–20038%
140 or fewer29%
9 1,200
+3 more