Will DeepSeek release a new flagship model (V4/V5/R3 or equivalent) between 2026-10-18 and 2026-12-31?
3,700 tokens vol· PredictX probability as of
No
52%· ~1.82x· 1,950 tokens
1,950 tokens53% of pool
52%~1.82xper tokenYes
48%· ~1.98x· 1,750 tokens
1,750 tokens47% of pool
48%~1.98xper token
Market rules
Resolution criteria
New flagship generation announced. Settled from deepseek.com / official Hugging Face org.
Set by the market when it was created.
No52%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if No is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Yes48%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Yes is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Frequently asked questions
New flagship generation announced. Settled from deepseek.com / official Hugging Face org. Predictions close on 31 Dec 2026, 12:00 am IST, and the market settles once the result is known.
Predictions on "Will DeepSeek release a new flagship model (V4/V5/R3 or equivalent) between 2026-10-18 and 2026-12-31?" close on 31 Dec 2026, 12:00 am IST. After that no new predictions are accepted, and the market settles once the result is known.
No 52%, Yes 48%, as of 3 Nov 2026, 5:44 pm IST. These are PredictX probabilities, computed from the tokens committed to each side, smoothed so that a thin pool stays close to 50%. They change as predictions are committed, and they are not a forecast by PredictX or a guarantee.
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Frequently asked questions about Will DeepSeek release a new flagship model (V4/V5/R3 or equivalent) between 2026-10-18 and 2026-12-31?.