Guides
How prediction games work
Plain explanations of the ideas behind every PredictX market — each one answers a single question.
What is a prediction game?
A prediction game scores players on what they expect to happen in real events. How a PredictX market works, what it rewards, and what a prediction game is not.
How does a parimutuel pool work?
In a parimutuel pool every token joins one pool and the correct side shares it. A worked example, the 5% fee, bonuses, uncontested pools and leaving early.
What does a probability on a prediction market mean?
What the percentage on a PredictX market measures, what it does not, how to judge whether a crowd is any good, and how to quote one accurately.
The exact calculations behind every figure are on the methodology page.