Will SpaceX successfully catch the Starship upper stage with the tower on Flight 15?
4,950 tokens vol· PredictX probability as of
Yes
57%· ~1.66x· 2,900 tokens
2,900 tokens59% of pool
57%~1.66xper tokenNo
43%· ~2.22x· 2,050 tokens
2,050 tokens41% of pool
43%~2.22xper token
Market rules
Resolution criteria
Ship secured by the chopstick arms (resolves "No" if no attempt, abort, or miss). Settled from SpaceX webcast / official post-flight statement.
Set by the market when it was created.
Yes57%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Yes is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
No43%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if No is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Frequently asked questions
Ship secured by the chopstick arms (resolves "No" if no attempt, abort, or miss). Settled from SpaceX webcast / official post-flight statement. Predictions close on 31 Dec 2026, 12:00 pm IST, and the market settles once the result is known.
Predictions on "Will SpaceX successfully catch the Starship upper stage with the tower on Flight 15?" close on 31 Dec 2026, 12:00 pm IST. After that no new predictions are accepted, and the market settles once the result is known.
Yes 57%, No 43%, as of 3 Nov 2026, 5:44 pm IST. These are PredictX probabilities, computed from the tokens committed to each side, smoothed so that a thin pool stays close to 50%. They change as predictions are committed, and they are not a forecast by PredictX or a guarantee.
New to PredictX? How predicting works · How PredictX probabilities and player figures are calculated
Frequently asked questions about Will SpaceX successfully catch the Starship upper stage with the tower on Flight 15?.