Will OpenAI announce a new numbered GPT model (GPT-6.2 or higher, not a dated snapshot) between 2026-10-18 and 2026-12-31?
5,550 tokens vol· PredictX probability as of
Yes
56%· ~1.68x· 3,200 tokens
3,200 tokens58% of pool
56%~1.68xper tokenNo
44%· ~2.18x· 2,350 tokens
2,350 tokens42% of pool
44%~2.18xper token
Market rules
Resolution criteria
New model name with a higher version number than any released by Oct 17. Settled from openai.com/news.
Set by the market when it was created.
Yes56%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Yes is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
No44%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if No is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Frequently asked questions
New model name with a higher version number than any released by Oct 17. Settled from openai.com/news. Predictions close on 31 Dec 2026, 12:00 am IST, and the market settles once the result is known.
Predictions on "Will OpenAI announce a new numbered GPT model (GPT-6.2 or higher, not a dated snapshot) between 2026-10-18 and 2026-12-31?" close on 31 Dec 2026, 12:00 am IST. After that no new predictions are accepted, and the market settles once the result is known.
Yes 56%, No 44%, as of 3 Nov 2026, 5:45 pm IST. These are PredictX probabilities, computed from the tokens committed to each side, smoothed so that a thin pool stays close to 50%. They change as predictions are committed, and they are not a forecast by PredictX or a guarantee.
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Frequently asked questions about Will OpenAI announce a new numbered GPT model (GPT-6.2 or higher, not a dated snapshot) between 2026-10-18 and 2026-12-31?.