Will ISRO launch Gaganyaan-1 (G1) on or before 2026-12-31?
2,000 tokens vol· PredictX probability as of
No
60%· ~1.58x· 1,300 tokens
1,300 tokens65% of pool
60%~1.58xper tokenYes
40%· ~2.37x· 700 tokens
700 tokens35% of pool
40%~2.37xper token
Market rules
Resolution criteria
Lift-off from SDSC-SHAR by 23:59 IST Dec 31. Settled from isro.gov.in press release / ISRO X account.
Set by the market when it was created.
No60%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if No is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Yes40%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Yes is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Frequently asked questions
Lift-off from SDSC-SHAR by 23:59 IST Dec 31. Settled from isro.gov.in press release / ISRO X account. Predictions close on 15 Nov 2026, 12:00 am IST, and the market settles once the result is known.
Predictions on "Will ISRO launch Gaganyaan-1 (G1) on or before 2026-12-31?" close on 15 Nov 2026, 12:00 am IST. After that no new predictions are accepted, and the market settles once the result is known.
No 60%, Yes 40%, as of 3 Nov 2026, 5:45 pm IST. These are PredictX probabilities, computed from the tokens committed to each side, smoothed so that a thin pool stays close to 50%. They change as predictions are committed, and they are not a forecast by PredictX or a guarantee.
New to PredictX? How predicting works · How PredictX probabilities and player figures are calculated
Frequently asked questions about Will ISRO launch Gaganyaan-1 (G1) on or before 2026-12-31?.