CADENCE: How many ISRO orbital launches in H2 2026?
1,500 tokens vol· PredictX probability as of
0–2
37%· ~2.59x· 550 tokens
550 tokens37% of pool
37%~2.59xper token7 or more
33%· ~2.85x· 500 tokens
500 tokens33% of pool
33%~2.85xper token3–4
20%· ~4.75x· 300 tokens
300 tokens20% of pool
20%~4.75xper token5–6
10%· ~9.50x· 150 tokens
150 tokens10% of pool
10%~9.50xper token
Market rules
Resolution criteria
Counts ISRO orbital launch attempts between 1 Jul and 31 Dec 2026 inclusive, per ISRO's official launch record. Suborbital flights and non-ISRO launches do not count; a failed launch still counts as an attempt.
Set by the market when it was created.
0–237%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if 0–2 is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
7 or more33%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if 7 or more is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
3–420%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if 3–4 is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
5–610%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if 5–6 is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Frequently asked questions
Counts ISRO orbital launch attempts between 1 Jul and 31 Dec 2026 inclusive, per ISRO's official launch record. Suborbital flights and non-ISRO launches do not count; a failed launch still counts as an attempt. Predictions close on 2 Jan 2027, 4:20 pm IST, and the market settles once the result is known.
Predictions on "CADENCE: How many ISRO orbital launches in H2 2026?" close on 2 Jan 2027, 4:20 pm IST. After that no new predictions are accepted, and the market settles once the result is known.
0–2 37%, 7 or more 33%, 3–4 20%, 5–6 10%, as of 3 Nov 2026, 5:43 pm IST. These are PredictX probabilities, computed from each outcome’s share of the tokens committed to outcomes still in contention. They change as predictions are committed, and they are not a forecast by PredictX or a guarantee.
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Frequently asked questions about CADENCE: How many ISRO orbital launches in H2 2026?.