GAGANYAAN: Will ISRO’s Gaganyaan-1 uncrewed orbital flight launch in 2026?
1,250 tokens vol· PredictX probability as of
Yes
51%· ~1.86x· 650 tokens
650 tokens52% of pool
51%~1.86xper tokenNo
49%· ~1.94x· 600 tokens
600 tokens48% of pool
49%~1.94xper token
Market rules
Resolution criteria
Yes if ISRO's Gaganyaan-1 uncrewed orbital mission lifts off during calendar 2026, per an official ISRO announcement. A mission that fails after lift-off still counts as launched.
Set by the market when it was created.
Yes51%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Yes is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
No49%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if No is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Frequently asked questions
Yes if ISRO's Gaganyaan-1 uncrewed orbital mission lifts off during calendar 2026, per an official ISRO announcement. A mission that fails after lift-off still counts as launched. Predictions close on 2 Jan 2027, 4:20 pm IST, and the market settles once the result is known.
Predictions on "GAGANYAAN: Will ISRO’s Gaganyaan-1 uncrewed orbital flight launch in 2026?" close on 2 Jan 2027, 4:20 pm IST. After that no new predictions are accepted, and the market settles once the result is known.
Yes 51%, No 49%, as of 3 Nov 2026, 5:44 pm IST. These are PredictX probabilities, computed from the tokens committed to each side, smoothed so that a thin pool stays close to 50%. They change as predictions are committed, and they are not a forecast by PredictX or a guarantee.
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Frequently asked questions about GAGANYAAN: Will ISRO’s Gaganyaan-1 uncrewed orbital flight launch in 2026?.