Will a Starship launch from LC-39A, Florida on or before 2026-12-31?
4,250 tokens vol· PredictX probability as of
Yes
51%· ~1.85x· 2,200 tokens
2,200 tokens52% of pool
51%~1.85xper tokenNo
49%· ~1.96x· 2,050 tokens
2,050 tokens48% of pool
49%~1.96xper token
Market rules
Resolution criteria
Lift-off from 39A in window. Settled from SpaceX / NASA KSC.
Set by the market when it was created.
Yes51%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Yes is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
No49%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if No is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Frequently asked questions
Lift-off from 39A in window. Settled from SpaceX / NASA KSC. Predictions close on 31 Dec 2026, 12:00 am IST, and the market settles once the result is known.
Predictions on "Will a Starship launch from LC-39A, Florida on or before 2026-12-31?" close on 31 Dec 2026, 12:00 am IST. After that no new predictions are accepted, and the market settles once the result is known.
Yes 51%, No 49%, as of 3 Nov 2026, 6:26 pm IST. These are PredictX probabilities, computed from the tokens committed to each side, smoothed so that a thin pool stays close to 50%. They change as predictions are committed, and they are not a forecast by PredictX or a guarantee.
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Frequently asked questions about Will a Starship launch from LC-39A, Florida on or before 2026-12-31?.