How many Starship flights will lift off between 2026-10-18 and 2026-12-31?
3,350 tokens vol· PredictX probability as of
1
34%· ~2.77x· 1,150 tokens
1,150 tokens34% of pool
34%~2.77xper token0
33%· ~2.89x· 1,100 tokens
1,100 tokens33% of pool
33%~2.89xper token2
21%· ~4.55x· 700 tokens
700 tokens21% of pool
21%~4.55xper token3 or more
12%· ~7.96x· 400 tokens
400 tokens12% of pool
12%~7.96xper token
Market rules
Resolution criteria
Count of Starship integrated lift-offs in window. Settled from SpaceX.
Set by the market when it was created.
134%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if 1 is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
033%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if 0 is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
221%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if 2 is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
3 or more12%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if 3 or more is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Frequently asked questions
Count of Starship integrated lift-offs in window. Settled from SpaceX. Predictions close on 31 Dec 2026, 12:00 pm IST, and the market settles once the result is known.
Predictions on "How many Starship flights will lift off between 2026-10-18 and 2026-12-31?" close on 31 Dec 2026, 12:00 pm IST. After that no new predictions are accepted, and the market settles once the result is known.
1 34%, 0 33%, 2 21%, 3 or more 12%, as of 3 Nov 2026, 5:45 pm IST. These are PredictX probabilities, computed from each outcome’s share of the tokens committed to outcomes still in contention. They change as predictions are committed, and they are not a forecast by PredictX or a guarantee.
New to PredictX? How predicting works · How PredictX probabilities and player figures are calculated
Frequently asked questions about How many Starship flights will lift off between 2026-10-18 and 2026-12-31?.