Will a Starship launch from LC-39A, Florida on or before 2026-12-31?
2,800 tokens vol
Yes
57%· ~1.68x· 1,650 tokens
1,650 tokens59% of pool
57%~1.68xper tokenNo
43%· ~2.19x· 1,150 tokens
1,150 tokens41% of pool
43%~2.19xper token
Market rules
Resolution criteria
Lift-off from 39A in window. Settled from SpaceX / NASA KSC.
Set by the market when it was created.
Yes57%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Yes is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
No43%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if No is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Frequently asked questions
Lift-off from 39A in window. Settled from SpaceX / NASA KSC. Predictions close on 1 Nov 2026, 12:00 am, and the market settles once the result is known.
Predictions on "Will a Starship launch from LC-39A, Florida on or before 2026-12-31?" close on 1 Nov 2026, 12:00 am. After that no new predictions are accepted, and the market settles against its stated resolution criteria.
It means the tokens committed to "Yes" account for 57% of the pool on "Will a Starship launch from LC-39A, Florida on or before 2026-12-31?". It is a live reading of what people predicting on this market collectively expect — not a forecast by PredictX, and not a guarantee. It moves as more predictions are committed, and it can be wrong.
Yes 57%, No 43%. Each figure is that outcome's share of the tokens committed so far, and it changes as people predict. These are a snapshot from when this page was last updated.
8 people have made a prediction on "Will a Starship launch from LC-39A, Florida on or before 2026-12-31?". They have committed 2,800 tokens in total. Tokens are free and carry no monetary value.
Choose an outcome on this page, pick how many tokens to commit to it, and confirm. Tokens are free and carry no monetary value. When the market settles, the pool is shared among the people who predicted the correct outcome, in proportion to what they committed.
Frequently asked questions about Will a Starship launch from LC-39A, Florida on or before 2026-12-31?.