Will DeepSeek release a new flagship model (V4/V5/R3 or equivalent) between 2026-10-18 and 2026-12-31?
2,850 tokens vol
Yes
51%· ~1.88x· 1,450 tokens
1,450 tokens51% of pool
51%~1.88xper tokenNo
49%· ~1.93x· 1,400 tokens
1,400 tokens49% of pool
49%~1.93xper token
Market rules
Resolution criteria
New flagship generation announced. Settled from deepseek.com / official Hugging Face org.
Set by the market when it was created.
Yes51%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Yes is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
No49%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if No is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Frequently asked questions
New flagship generation announced. Settled from deepseek.com / official Hugging Face org. Predictions close on 1 Nov 2026, 12:00 am, and the market settles once the result is known.
Predictions on "Will DeepSeek release a new flagship model (V4/V5/R3 or equivalent) between 2026-10-18 and 2026-12-31?" close on 1 Nov 2026, 12:00 am. After that no new predictions are accepted, and the market settles against its stated resolution criteria.
It means the tokens committed to "Yes" account for 51% of the pool on "Will DeepSeek release a new flagship model (V4/V5/R3 or equivalent) between 2026-10-18 and 2026-12-31?". It is a live reading of what people predicting on this market collectively expect — not a forecast by PredictX, and not a guarantee. It moves as more predictions are committed, and it can be wrong.
Yes 51%, No 49%. Each figure is that outcome's share of the tokens committed so far, and it changes as people predict. These are a snapshot from when this page was last updated.
9 people have made a prediction on "Will DeepSeek release a new flagship model (V4/V5/R3 or equivalent) between 2026-10-18 and 2026-12-31?". They have committed 2,850 tokens in total. Tokens are free and carry no monetary value.
Choose an outcome on this page, pick how many tokens to commit to it, and confirm. Tokens are free and carry no monetary value. When the market settles, the pool is shared among the people who predicted the correct outcome, in proportion to what they committed.
Frequently asked questions about Will DeepSeek release a new flagship model (V4/V5/R3 or equivalent) between 2026-10-18 and 2026-12-31?.