Will OpenAI announce a new numbered GPT model (GPT-6.2 or higher, not a dated snapshot) between 2026-10-18 and 2026-12-31?
3,300 tokens vol
Yes
58%· ~1.63x· 2,000 tokens
2,000 tokens61% of pool
58%~1.63xper tokenNo
42%· ~2.27x· 1,300 tokens
1,300 tokens39% of pool
42%~2.27xper token
Market rules
Resolution criteria
New model name with a higher version number than any released by Oct 17. Settled from openai.com/news.
Set by the market when it was created.
Yes58%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Yes is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
No42%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if No is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Frequently asked questions
New model name with a higher version number than any released by Oct 17. Settled from openai.com/news. Predictions close on 1 Nov 2026, 12:00 am, and the market settles once the result is known.
Predictions on "Will OpenAI announce a new numbered GPT model (GPT-6.2 or higher, not a dated snapshot) between 2026-10-18 and 2026-12-31?" close on 1 Nov 2026, 12:00 am. After that no new predictions are accepted, and the market settles against its stated resolution criteria.
It means the tokens committed to "Yes" account for 58% of the pool on "Will OpenAI announce a new numbered GPT model (GPT-6.2 or higher, not a dated snapshot) between 2026-10-18 and 2026-12-31?". It is a live reading of what people predicting on this market collectively expect — not a forecast by PredictX, and not a guarantee. It moves as more predictions are committed, and it can be wrong.
Yes 58%, No 42%. Each figure is that outcome's share of the tokens committed so far, and it changes as people predict. These are a snapshot from when this page was last updated.
10 people have made a prediction on "Will OpenAI announce a new numbered GPT model (GPT-6.2 or higher, not a dated snapshot) between 2026-10-18 and 2026-12-31?". They have committed 3,300 tokens in total. Tokens are free and carry no monetary value.
Choose an outcome on this page, pick how many tokens to commit to it, and confirm. Tokens are free and carry no monetary value. When the market settles, the pool is shared among the people who predicted the correct outcome, in proportion to what they committed.
Frequently asked questions about Will OpenAI announce a new numbered GPT model (GPT-6.2 or higher, not a dated snapshot) between 2026-10-18 and 2026-12-31?.