How many Starship flights will lift off between 2026-10-18 and 2026-12-31?
3,350 tokens vol
1
34%· ~2.77x· 1,150 tokens
1,150 tokens34% of pool
34%~2.77xper token0
33%· ~2.89x· 1,100 tokens
1,100 tokens33% of pool
33%~2.89xper token2
21%· ~4.55x· 700 tokens
700 tokens21% of pool
21%~4.55xper token3 or more
12%· ~7.96x· 400 tokens
400 tokens12% of pool
12%~7.96xper token
Market rules
Resolution criteria
Count of Starship integrated lift-offs in window. Settled from SpaceX.
Set by the market when it was created.
134%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if 1 is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
033%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if 0 is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
221%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if 2 is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
3 or more12%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if 3 or more is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Frequently asked questions
Count of Starship integrated lift-offs in window. Settled from SpaceX. Predictions close on 31 Dec 2026, 12:00 pm, and the market settles once the result is known.
Predictions on "How many Starship flights will lift off between 2026-10-18 and 2026-12-31?" close on 31 Dec 2026, 12:00 pm. After that no new predictions are accepted, and the market settles against its stated resolution criteria.
It means the tokens committed to "1" account for 34% of the pool on "How many Starship flights will lift off between 2026-10-18 and 2026-12-31?". It is a live reading of what people predicting on this market collectively expect — not a forecast by PredictX, and not a guarantee. It moves as more predictions are committed, and it can be wrong.
1 34%, 0 33%, 2 21%, 3 or more 12%. Each figure is that outcome's share of the tokens committed so far, and it changes as people predict. These are a snapshot from when this page was last updated.
13 people have made a prediction on "How many Starship flights will lift off between 2026-10-18 and 2026-12-31?". They have committed 3,350 tokens in total. Tokens are free and carry no monetary value.
Choose an outcome on this page, pick how many tokens to commit to it, and confirm. Tokens are free and carry no monetary value. When the market settles, the pool is shared among the people who predicted the correct outcome, in proportion to what they committed.
Frequently asked questions about How many Starship flights will lift off between 2026-10-18 and 2026-12-31?.