Will WMO's provisional report say 2026 is on track to be the warmest or second-warmest year on record?
2,400 tokens vol
No
51%· ~1.85x· 1,250 tokens
1,250 tokens52% of pool
51%~1.85xper tokenYes
49%· ~1.96x· 1,150 tokens
1,150 tokens48% of pool
49%~1.96xper token
Market rules
Resolution criteria
Report text ranks Jan–Sep/Oct 2026 first or second. Settled from wmo.int press release.
Set by the market when it was created.
No51%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if No is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Yes49%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Yes is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Frequently asked questions
Report text ranks Jan–Sep/Oct 2026 first or second. Settled from wmo.int press release. Predictions close on 8 Nov 2026, 12:00 am, and the market settles once the result is known.
Predictions on "Will WMO's provisional report say 2026 is on track to be the warmest or second-warmest year on record?" close on 8 Nov 2026, 12:00 am. After that no new predictions are accepted, and the market settles against its stated resolution criteria.
It means the tokens committed to "No" account for 51% of the pool on "Will WMO's provisional report say 2026 is on track to be the warmest or second-warmest year on record?". It is a live reading of what people predicting on this market collectively expect — not a forecast by PredictX, and not a guarantee. It moves as more predictions are committed, and it can be wrong.
No 51%, Yes 49%. Each figure is that outcome's share of the tokens committed so far, and it changes as people predict. These are a snapshot from when this page was last updated.
8 people have made a prediction on "Will WMO's provisional report say 2026 is on track to be the warmest or second-warmest year on record?". They have committed 2,400 tokens in total. Tokens are free and carry no monetary value.
Choose an outcome on this page, pick how many tokens to commit to it, and confirm. Tokens are free and carry no monetary value. When the market settles, the pool is shared among the people who predicted the correct outcome, in proportion to what they committed.
Frequently asked questions about Will WMO's provisional report say 2026 is on track to be the warmest or second-warmest year on record?.