Will Copernicus declare 2026 the warmest calendar year on record?
1,450 tokens vol
No
59%· ~1.61x· 950 tokens
950 tokens66% of pool
59%~1.61xper tokenYes
41%· ~2.33x· 500 tokens
500 tokens34% of pool
41%~2.33xper token
Market rules
Resolution criteria
ERA5 2026 annual mean ranks #1, beating 2024. Settled from climate.copernicus.eu Global Climate Highlights 2026.
Set by the market when it was created.
No59%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if No is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Yes41%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Yes is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Frequently asked questions
ERA5 2026 annual mean ranks #1, beating 2024. Settled from climate.copernicus.eu Global Climate Highlights 2026. Predictions close on 15 Dec 2026, 12:00 am, and the market settles once the result is known.
Predictions on "Will Copernicus declare 2026 the warmest calendar year on record?" close on 15 Dec 2026, 12:00 am. After that no new predictions are accepted, and the market settles against its stated resolution criteria.
It means the tokens committed to "No" account for 59% of the pool on "Will Copernicus declare 2026 the warmest calendar year on record?". It is a live reading of what people predicting on this market collectively expect — not a forecast by PredictX, and not a guarantee. It moves as more predictions are committed, and it can be wrong.
No 59%, Yes 41%. Each figure is that outcome's share of the tokens committed so far, and it changes as people predict. These are a snapshot from when this page was last updated.
4 people have made a prediction on "Will Copernicus declare 2026 the warmest calendar year on record?". They have committed 1,450 tokens in total. Tokens are free and carry no monetary value.
Choose an outcome on this page, pick how many tokens to commit to it, and confirm. Tokens are free and carry no monetary value. When the market settles, the pool is shared among the people who predicted the correct outcome, in proportion to what they committed.
Frequently asked questions about Will Copernicus declare 2026 the warmest calendar year on record?.