Will NOAA's Oct–Dec 2026 Oceanic Niño Index exceed +2.6 °C (the 2015–16 record)?
950 tokens vol
Yes
62%· ~1.54x· 700 tokens
700 tokens74% of pool
62%~1.54xper tokenNo
38%· ~2.47x· 250 tokens
250 tokens26% of pool
38%~2.47xper token
Market rules
Resolution criteria
OND value > 2.6. Settled from NOAA CPC ONI table (OND 2026 value, published ~Jan 2027).
Set by the market when it was created.
Yes62%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Yes is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
No38%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if No is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Frequently asked questions
OND value > 2.6. Settled from NOAA CPC ONI table (OND 2026 value, published ~Jan 2027). Predictions close on 15 Dec 2026, 12:00 am, and the market settles once the result is known.
Predictions on "Will NOAA's Oct–Dec 2026 Oceanic Niño Index exceed +2.6 °C (the 2015–16 record)?" close on 15 Dec 2026, 12:00 am. After that no new predictions are accepted, and the market settles against its stated resolution criteria.
It means the tokens committed to "Yes" account for 62% of the pool on "Will NOAA's Oct–Dec 2026 Oceanic Niño Index exceed +2.6 °C (the 2015–16 record)?". It is a live reading of what people predicting on this market collectively expect — not a forecast by PredictX, and not a guarantee. It moves as more predictions are committed, and it can be wrong.
Yes 62%, No 38%. Each figure is that outcome's share of the tokens committed so far, and it changes as people predict. These are a snapshot from when this page was last updated.
4 people have made a prediction on "Will NOAA's Oct–Dec 2026 Oceanic Niño Index exceed +2.6 °C (the 2015–16 record)?". They have committed 950 tokens in total. Tokens are free and carry no monetary value.
Choose an outcome on this page, pick how many tokens to commit to it, and confirm. Tokens are free and carry no monetary value. When the market settles, the pool is shared among the people who predicted the correct outcome, in proportion to what they committed.
Frequently asked questions about Will NOAA's Oct–Dec 2026 Oceanic Niño Index exceed +2.6 °C (the 2015–16 record)?.