AI IPO: Which AI lab completes its IPO listing first?
1,200 tokens vol· PredictX probability as of
Neither in 2026
46%· ~2.07x· 550 tokens
550 tokens46% of pool
46%~2.07xper tokenOpenAI
29%· ~3.26x· 350 tokens
350 tokens29% of pool
29%~3.26xper tokenAnthropic
25%· ~3.80x· 300 tokens
300 tokens25% of pool
25%~3.80xper token
Market rules
Resolution criteria
Resolves to whichever of Anthropic or OpenAI first completes an IPO listing on a recognised stock exchange. "Neither in 2026" resolves if neither has listed by 31 Dec 2026.
Set by the market when it was created.
Neither in 202646%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Neither in 2026 is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
OpenAI29%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if OpenAI is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Anthropic25%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Anthropic is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Frequently asked questions
Resolves to whichever of Anthropic or OpenAI first completes an IPO listing on a recognised stock exchange. "Neither in 2026" resolves if neither has listed by 31 Dec 2026. Predictions close on 31 Dec 2026, 4:20 pm IST, and the market settles once the result is known.
Predictions on "AI IPO: Which AI lab completes its IPO listing first?" close on 31 Dec 2026, 4:20 pm IST. After that no new predictions are accepted, and the market settles once the result is known.
Neither in 2026 46%, OpenAI 29%, Anthropic 25%, as of 3 Nov 2026, 6:27 pm IST. These are PredictX probabilities, computed from each outcome’s share of the tokens committed to outcomes still in contention. They change as predictions are committed, and they are not a forecast by PredictX or a guarantee.
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Frequently asked questions about AI IPO: Which AI lab completes its IPO listing first?.