Will TIME's Person of the Year 2026 be a group or concept rather than one named individual?
1,900 tokens vol· PredictX probability as of
Yes
59%· ~1.62x· 1,200 tokens
1,200 tokens63% of pool
59%~1.62xper tokenNo
41%· ~2.30x· 700 tokens
700 tokens37% of pool
41%~2.30xper token
Market rules
Resolution criteria
Cover names a collective (e.g., "The Architects of AI", a crew). Settled from time.com.
Set by the market when it was created.
Yes59%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Yes is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
No41%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if No is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Frequently asked questions
Cover names a collective (e.g., "The Architects of AI", a crew). Settled from time.com. Predictions close on 8 Dec 2026, 12:00 am IST, and the market settles once the result is known.
Predictions on "Will TIME's Person of the Year 2026 be a group or concept rather than one named individual?" close on 8 Dec 2026, 12:00 am IST. After that no new predictions are accepted, and the market settles once the result is known.
Yes 59%, No 41%, as of 3 Nov 2026, 6:29 pm IST. These are PredictX probabilities, computed from the tokens committed to each side, smoothed so that a thin pool stays close to 50%. They change as predictions are committed, and they are not a forecast by PredictX or a guarantee.
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Frequently asked questions about Will TIME's Person of the Year 2026 be a group or concept rather than one named individual?.