Will TIME's Person of the Year 2026 be a non-American?
1,600 tokens vol· PredictX probability as of
Yes
58%· ~1.65x· 1,000 tokens
1,000 tokens63% of pool
58%~1.65xper tokenNo
42%· ~2.25x· 600 tokens
600 tokens38% of pool
42%~2.25xper token
Market rules
Resolution criteria
Sole honouree holds no US citizenship (groups/concepts resolve "No"). Settled from time.com.
Set by the market when it was created.
Yes58%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Yes is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
No42%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if No is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Frequently asked questions
Sole honouree holds no US citizenship (groups/concepts resolve "No"). Settled from time.com. Predictions close on 8 Dec 2026, 12:00 am IST, and the market settles once the result is known.
Predictions on "Will TIME's Person of the Year 2026 be a non-American?" close on 8 Dec 2026, 12:00 am IST. After that no new predictions are accepted, and the market settles once the result is known.
Yes 58%, No 42%, as of 3 Nov 2026, 6:29 pm IST. These are PredictX probabilities, computed from the tokens committed to each side, smoothed so that a thin pool stays close to 50%. They change as predictions are committed, and they are not a forecast by PredictX or a guarantee.
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Frequently asked questions about Will TIME's Person of the Year 2026 be a non-American?.