Who wins the Booker Prize 2026?
2,050 tokens vol· PredictX probability as of
Douglas Stuart
24%· ~3.90x· 500 tokens
500 tokens24% of pool
24%~3.90xper tokenMarlon James
20%· ~4.87x· 400 tokens
400 tokens20% of pool
20%~4.87xper tokenRebecca Perry
20%· ~4.87x· 400 tokens
400 tokens20% of pool
20%~4.87xper tokenLuke Kennard
15%· ~6.49x· 300 tokens
300 tokens15% of pool
15%~6.49xper tokenM. John Harrison
12%· ~7.79x· 250 tokens
250 tokens12% of pool
12%~7.79xper tokenElizabeth Strout
10%· ~9.73x· 200 tokens
200 tokens10% of pool
10%~9.73xper token
Market rules
Resolution criteria
Announced winner. Settled from thebookerprizes.com.
Set by the market when it was created.
Douglas Stuart24%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Douglas Stuart is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Marlon James20%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Marlon James is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Rebecca Perry20%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Rebecca Perry is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Luke Kennard15%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Luke Kennard is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
M. John Harrison12%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if M. John Harrison is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Elizabeth Strout10%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Elizabeth Strout is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Frequently asked questions
Announced winner. Settled from thebookerprizes.com. Predictions close on 10 Nov 2026, 1:00 am IST, and the market settles once the result is known.
Predictions on "Who wins the Booker Prize 2026?" close on 10 Nov 2026, 1:00 am IST. After that no new predictions are accepted, and the market settles once the result is known.
Douglas Stuart 24%, Marlon James 20%, Rebecca Perry 20%, Luke Kennard 15%, M. John Harrison 12%, Elizabeth Strout 10%, as of 3 Nov 2026, 5:44 pm IST. These are PredictX probabilities, computed from each outcome’s share of the tokens committed to outcomes still in contention. They change as predictions are committed, and they are not a forecast by PredictX or a guarantee.
New to PredictX? How predicting works · How PredictX probabilities and player figures are calculated
Frequently asked questions about Who wins the Booker Prize 2026?.



