SPACEX: How many SpaceX launches (all vehicles) in 2026?
1,200 tokens vol
181–200
38%· ~2.53x· 450 tokens
450 tokens38% of pool
38%~2.53xper tokenClosed140 or fewer 🏆
29%· ~3.26x· 350 tokens
350 tokens29% of pool
29%~3.26xper tokenWinner141–160
17%· ~5.70x· 200 tokens
200 tokens17% of pool
17%~5.70xper tokenClosed161–180
8%· ~11.40x· 100 tokens
100 tokens8% of pool
8%~11.40xper tokenClosed200+
8%· ~11.40x· 100 tokens
100 tokens8% of pool
8%~11.40xper tokenClosed
Result
140 or fewer
Resolved · manual
What the crowd expected
38% said 181–200
- Total pool
- 1,200 tokens
- Distributed
- 1,140 tokens
- Payout per token
- 3.26×
- Correct predictions
- 2 of 9
Market rules
Resolution criteria
Counts SpaceX orbital launch attempts across all vehicles between 1 Jan and 31 Dec 2026 inclusive, per SpaceX's official launch record. Suborbital tests and static fires do not count; a failed launch still counts as an attempt.
Set by the market when it was created.
181–20038%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if 181–200 is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
140 or fewer 🏆29%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if 140 or fewer is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
This is the confirmed result of this prediction.
141–16017%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if 141–160 is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
161–1808%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if 161–180 is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
200+8%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if 200+ is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Frequently asked questions
Counts SpaceX orbital launch attempts across all vehicles between 1 Jan and 31 Dec 2026 inclusive, per SpaceX's official launch record. Suborbital tests and static fires do not count; a failed launch still counts as an attempt. Predictions close on 29 Sept 2026, 4:20 pm, and the market settles once the result is known.
Predictions on "SPACEX: How many SpaceX launches (all vehicles) in 2026?" closed on 29 Sept 2026, 4:20 pm. No further predictions were accepted after that, and the market was settled against its stated resolution criteria.
9 people have made a prediction on "SPACEX: How many SpaceX launches (all vehicles) in 2026?". They have committed 1,200 tokens in total. Tokens are free and carry no monetary value.
Choose an outcome on this page, pick how many tokens to commit to it, and confirm. Tokens are free and carry no monetary value. When the market settles, the pool is shared among the people who predicted the correct outcome, in proportion to what they committed.
Frequently asked questions about SPACEX: How many SpaceX launches (all vehicles) in 2026?.
