TOP MODEL: Which AI lab has the top-ranked model on LM Arena at end of Q3 2026?
1,550 tokens vol
Anthropic
23%· ~4.21x· 350 tokens
350 tokens23% of pool
23%~4.21xper tokenxAI
23%· ~4.21x· 350 tokens
350 tokens23% of pool
23%~4.21xper tokenGoogle
19%· ~4.91x· 300 tokens
300 tokens19% of pool
19%~4.91xper tokenAny other
19%· ~4.91x· 300 tokens
300 tokens19% of pool
19%~4.91xper tokenOpenAI
16%· ~5.89x· 250 tokens
250 tokens16% of pool
16%~5.89xper token
Market rules
Resolution criteria
Resolution criteria for this prediction will be published before it closes.
Set by the market when it was created.
Anthropic23%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Anthropic is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
xAI23%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if xAI is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Google19%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Google is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Any other19%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Any other is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
OpenAI16%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if OpenAI is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
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