Will Game 1 last 40 moves or more?
2,700 tokens vol· PredictX probability as of
No
53%· ~1.80x· 1,450 tokens
1,450 tokens54% of pool
53%~1.80xper tokenYes
47%· ~2.01x· 1,250 tokens
1,250 tokens46% of pool
47%~2.01xper token
Market rules
Resolution criteria
Black's 40th move completed → Yes. Settled from Official PGN (FIDE).
Set by the market when it was created.
No53%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if No is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Yes47%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Yes is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Frequently asked questions
Black's 40th move completed → Yes. Settled from Official PGN (FIDE). Predictions close on 24 Nov 2026, 7:25 pm IST, and the market settles once the result is known.
Predictions on "Will Game 1 last 40 moves or more?" close on 24 Nov 2026, 7:25 pm IST. After that no new predictions are accepted, and the market settles once the result is known.
No 53%, Yes 47%, as of 3 Nov 2026, 6:26 pm IST. These are PredictX probabilities, computed from the tokens committed to each side, smoothed so that a thin pool stays close to 50%. They change as predictions are committed, and they are not a forecast by PredictX or a guarantee.
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Frequently asked questions about Will Game 1 last 40 moves or more?.