Will New Zealand win a Test in Australia (first since 2011)?
750 tokens vol· PredictX probability as of
Yes
57%· ~1.66x· 500 tokens
500 tokens67% of pool
57%~1.66xper tokenNo
43%· ~2.22x· 250 tokens
250 tokens33% of pool
43%~2.22xper token
Market rules
Resolution criteria
Any NZ win. Settled from ESPNcricinfo.
Set by the market when it was created.
Yes57%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Yes is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
No43%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if No is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Frequently asked questions
Any NZ win. Settled from ESPNcricinfo. Predictions close on 9 Dec 2026, 7:40 am IST, and the market settles once the result is known.
Predictions on "Will New Zealand win a Test in Australia (first since 2011)?" close on 9 Dec 2026, 7:40 am IST. After that no new predictions are accepted, and the market settles once the result is known.
Yes 57%, No 43%, as of 3 Nov 2026, 5:46 pm IST. These are PredictX probabilities, computed from the tokens committed to each side, smoothed so that a thin pool stays close to 50%. They change as predictions are committed, and they are not a forecast by PredictX or a guarantee.
New to PredictX? How predicting works · How PredictX probabilities and player figures are calculated
Frequently asked questions about Will New Zealand win a Test in Australia (first since 2011)?.