FIFA World Cup 2026
Ecuador vs GermanyPENALTY DRAMA: Will a penalty be awarded in this match?
Germany's direct attacking runners and Ecuador's physical defending increase the probability of a penalty incident.
2,650 tokens vol
No 🏆
53%· ~1.78x· 1,450 tokens
1,450 tokens55% of pool
53%~1.78xper tokenWinnerYes
47%· ~2.04x· 1,200 tokens
1,200 tokens45% of pool
47%~2.04xper tokenClosed
Result
No
Resolved · manual
What the crowd expected
53% said No
- Total pool
- 2,650 tokens
- Distributed
- 2,518 tokens
- Payout per token
- 1.74×
- Correct predictions
- 11 of 20
Market rules
Resolution criteria
Resolves 'Yes' if a penalty kick is awarded to either team at any point in 90 minutes. Resolves 'No' if no penalty is awarded during the match.
Set by the market when it was created.
No 🏆53%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if No is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified automatically from the official result feed for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
This is the confirmed result of this prediction.
Yes47%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Yes is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified automatically from the official result feed for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
More from Ecuador vs Germany
See allGROUP STAGE OPENER: Ecuador vs Germany match result?
The Crowd
36% said Draw
WINNING MARGIN: Will Germany win by 2+ goals?
The Crowd
54% said NO
GOLDEN BOOT WATCH: Will Kai Havertz score anytime?
The Crowd
62% said YES
STAR SHOWDOWN: Will Jamal Musiala score anytime?
The Crowd
59% said NO