Will India submit an updated NDC to the UNFCCC registry on or before COP31's close (2026-11-20)?
4,450 tokens vol· PredictX probability as of
No
66%· ~1.44x· 3,100 tokens
3,100 tokens70% of pool
66%~1.44xper tokenYes
34%· ~2.80x· 1,350 tokens
1,350 tokens30% of pool
34%~2.80xper token
Market rules
Resolution criteria
New/updated India NDC document dated on or before Nov 20. Settled from unfccc.int NDC registry.
Set by the market when it was created.
No66%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if No is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Yes34%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Yes is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Frequently asked questions
New/updated India NDC document dated on or before Nov 20. Settled from unfccc.int NDC registry. Predictions close on 20 Nov 2026, 12:00 am IST, and the market settles once the result is known.
Predictions on "Will India submit an updated NDC to the UNFCCC registry on or before COP31's close (2026-11-20)?" close on 20 Nov 2026, 12:00 am IST. After that no new predictions are accepted, and the market settles once the result is known.
No 66%, Yes 34%, as of 3 Nov 2026, 5:45 pm IST. These are PredictX probabilities, computed from the tokens committed to each side, smoothed so that a thin pool stays close to 50%. They change as predictions are committed, and they are not a forecast by PredictX or a guarantee.
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Frequently asked questions about Will India submit an updated NDC to the UNFCCC registry on or before COP31's close (2026-11-20)?.