Will Copernicus declare 2026 the warmest calendar year on record?
1,900 tokens vol· PredictX probability as of
Yes
50%· ~1.90x· 950 tokens
950 tokens50% of pool
50%~1.90xper tokenNo
50%· ~1.90x· 950 tokens
950 tokens50% of pool
50%~1.90xper token
Market rules
Resolution criteria
ERA5 2026 annual mean ranks #1, beating 2024. Settled from climate.copernicus.eu Global Climate Highlights 2026.
Set by the market when it was created.
Yes50%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Yes is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
No50%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if No is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Frequently asked questions
ERA5 2026 annual mean ranks #1, beating 2024. Settled from climate.copernicus.eu Global Climate Highlights 2026. Predictions close on 15 Dec 2026, 12:00 am IST, and the market settles once the result is known.
Predictions on "Will Copernicus declare 2026 the warmest calendar year on record?" close on 15 Dec 2026, 12:00 am IST. After that no new predictions are accepted, and the market settles once the result is known.
Yes 50%, No 50%, as of 3 Nov 2026, 6:25 pm IST. These are PredictX probabilities, computed from the tokens committed to each side, smoothed so that a thin pool stays close to 50%. They change as predictions are committed, and they are not a forecast by PredictX or a guarantee.
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Frequently asked questions about Will Copernicus declare 2026 the warmest calendar year on record?.