Will NOAA's Oct–Dec 2026 Oceanic Niño Index exceed +2.6 °C (the 2015–16 record)?
1,350 tokens vol· PredictX probability as of
Yes
68%· ~1.40x· 1,100 tokens
1,100 tokens81% of pool
68%~1.40xper tokenNo
32%· ~2.98x· 250 tokens
250 tokens19% of pool
32%~2.98xper token
Market rules
Resolution criteria
OND value > 2.6. Settled from NOAA CPC ONI table (OND 2026 value, published ~Jan 2027).
Set by the market when it was created.
Yes68%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Yes is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
No32%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if No is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Frequently asked questions
OND value > 2.6. Settled from NOAA CPC ONI table (OND 2026 value, published ~Jan 2027). Predictions close on 15 Dec 2026, 12:00 am IST, and the market settles once the result is known.
Predictions on "Will NOAA's Oct–Dec 2026 Oceanic Niño Index exceed +2.6 °C (the 2015–16 record)?" close on 15 Dec 2026, 12:00 am IST. After that no new predictions are accepted, and the market settles once the result is known.
Yes 68%, No 32%, as of 3 Nov 2026, 6:26 pm IST. These are PredictX probabilities, computed from the tokens committed to each side, smoothed so that a thin pool stays close to 50%. They change as predictions are committed, and they are not a forecast by PredictX or a guarantee.
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Frequently asked questions about Will NOAA's Oct–Dec 2026 Oceanic Niño Index exceed +2.6 °C (the 2015–16 record)?.