HEAT RECORD: Will any Indian city officially record 50.0°C or higher in 2026 (IMD)?
1,150 tokens vol· PredictX probability as of
No
53%· ~1.78x· 650 tokens
650 tokens57% of pool
53%~1.78xper tokenYes
47%· ~2.04x· 500 tokens
500 tokens43% of pool
47%~2.04xper token
Market rules
Resolution criteria
Yes if the India Meteorological Department officially records a maximum temperature of 50.0°C or higher at any Indian station during 2026, per IMD records.
Set by the market when it was created.
No53%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if No is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Yes47%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Yes is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Frequently asked questions
Yes if the India Meteorological Department officially records a maximum temperature of 50.0°C or higher at any Indian station during 2026, per IMD records. Predictions close on 31 Dec 2026, 12:00 am IST, and the market settles once the result is known.
Predictions on "HEAT RECORD: Will any Indian city officially record 50.0°C or higher in 2026 (IMD)?" close on 31 Dec 2026, 12:00 am IST. After that no new predictions are accepted, and the market settles once the result is known.
No 53%, Yes 47%, as of 3 Nov 2026, 5:45 pm IST. These are PredictX probabilities, computed from the tokens committed to each side, smoothed so that a thin pool stays close to 50%. They change as predictions are committed, and they are not a forecast by PredictX or a guarantee.
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Frequently asked questions about HEAT RECORD: Will any Indian city officially record 50.0°C or higher in 2026 (IMD)?.