Will Boeing's Starliner-1 launch with crew on or before 2026-12-31?
1,050 tokens vol· PredictX probability as of
Yes
54%· ~1.77x· 600 tokens
600 tokens57% of pool
54%~1.77xper tokenNo
46%· ~2.05x· 450 tokens
450 tokens43% of pool
46%~2.05xper token
Market rules
Resolution criteria
Crewed lift-off in window. Settled from NASA blog.
Set by the market when it was created.
Yes54%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Yes is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
No46%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if No is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Frequently asked questions
Crewed lift-off in window. Settled from NASA blog. Predictions close on 15 Nov 2026, 12:00 am IST, and the market settles once the result is known.
Predictions on "Will Boeing's Starliner-1 launch with crew on or before 2026-12-31?" close on 15 Nov 2026, 12:00 am IST. After that no new predictions are accepted, and the market settles once the result is known.
Yes 54%, No 46%, as of 3 Nov 2026, 5:45 pm IST. These are PredictX probabilities, computed from the tokens committed to each side, smoothed so that a thin pool stays close to 50%. They change as predictions are committed, and they are not a forecast by PredictX or a guarantee.
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Frequently asked questions about Will Boeing's Starliner-1 launch with crew on or before 2026-12-31?.