Will Starship Flight 16 lift off on or before 2026-11-30?
3,600 tokens vol· PredictX probability as of
Yes
54%· ~1.75x· 2,000 tokens
2,000 tokens56% of pool
54%~1.75xper tokenNo
46%· ~2.08x· 1,600 tokens
1,600 tokens44% of pool
46%~2.08xper token
Market rules
Resolution criteria
Lift-off by Nov 30. Settled from SpaceX.
Set by the market when it was created.
Yes54%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if Yes is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
No46%
What this outcome means
Resolves YES if No is the confirmed outcome of this prediction when it closes.
Verified by PredictX review against the official result for this event.
Note: outcomes here are mutually exclusive — exactly one resolves YES and the pool is shared between everyone who committed tokens to it.
Frequently asked questions
Lift-off by Nov 30. Settled from SpaceX. Predictions close on 30 Nov 2026, 12:00 am IST, and the market settles once the result is known.
Predictions on "Will Starship Flight 16 lift off on or before 2026-11-30?" close on 30 Nov 2026, 12:00 am IST. After that no new predictions are accepted, and the market settles once the result is known.
Yes 54%, No 46%, as of 3 Nov 2026, 5:44 pm IST. These are PredictX probabilities, computed from the tokens committed to each side, smoothed so that a thin pool stays close to 50%. They change as predictions are committed, and they are not a forecast by PredictX or a guarantee.
New to PredictX? How predicting works · How PredictX probabilities and player figures are calculated
Frequently asked questions about Will Starship Flight 16 lift off on or before 2026-11-30?.